Long ago I thought that Bill Ackman's thesis on Herbalife was silly. It was "I am a billionaire hedge fund manager and I can get the government to help me".
A year later and Bill Ackman has managed to get a Senator to help him. Edward Markey (Democrat, Massachusetts) famously raised "the Herbalife issue". It whacked the stock.
I confess I might have been wrong.
Actually with respect to Markey I am wrong.
There are TWO versions of the Herbalife letter. One is from Bill Ackman's website.
Here is a picture:
You will note that it is dated January 22, 2014.
And one from Edward Markey's website:
It is dated January 23, 2014.
I would normally comment no further, but I can't help myself. You see the version the New York Post carried under the Michelle Celarier's byline is the Ackman version.
I gather the Kennedy Family consider themselves the rightful heir to Markey's seat. [It is the Kennedy's traditional seat.]
It can't hurt their cause that Markey is demonstrated to be the tool of billionaire Wall Street types.
J
PS. Hat tip http://twitter.com/TheSkeptic21
The only question remaining is whether or not Pershing actually drafted the letter, rather than simply coordinating/lobbying for action.
ReplyDeleteLooks like I was wrong as well. I sent a letter asking Markey if he had the exact amount Ackman paid him...no response....yet....
ReplyDeleteIsaiah 5:20.
ReplyDelete(And since you are obviously so given over to the Wall Street ethos that you might misinterpret the purpose of this comment, I would add that it is directed at YOU.)
To anonymous who quotes scripture...
ReplyDeleteThe first Herbalife distributor I met accurately stated that HLF saved her life.
This is a repeated story.
I know which side of the moral argument I want to be on here - and it is not Bill Ackman's side.
John
"Mr. Markey also sent a letter to Herbalife, and a spokeswoman said in a statement on Thursday: “We received the letter from Senator Markey this morning and look forward to an opportunity to introduce the company to him and address his concerns at his earliest convenience.” http://nyti.ms/1dScLFZ
ReplyDeleteWill Senator Markey personally meet with Herbalife to do his own due diligence or will he remain as an accomplice to Ackman manipulation of the stock market?
The shorts want to manipulate the stock only. Period.
They are using impossible foolish questions to make it look like HLF is doing something wrong.
Long ago I thought that Bill Ackman's thesis on Herbalife was silly. It was "I am a billionaire hedge fund manager and I can get the government to help me".
ReplyDeleteWow- As an American it never would have crossed my mind to doubt that thesis. If you thought that was silly, I want to emigrate to Australia.
"The first Herbalife distributor I met accurately stated that HLF saved her life."
ReplyDeleteAnecdotal and irrelevant in light of the overwhelming statistics to the contrary. In the main, Herbalife thrives at the expense of its "distributors" and can only do so by creating the illusion that there is a legitimate business opportunity selling over-priced, ordinary products.
The only thing worse than failing as an Herbalife distributor is succeeding as an Herbalife distributor.
Michelle tweeted that she got her version direct from Markey's website, and that perhaps they updated it.
ReplyDeleteIf true, then what might have happened is Markey had sent earlier version to Ackman (and possibly others) on the 22nd. When they saw the reaction it generated when released publicly on the 23rd, Markey's people updated the dates to try and hide the fact they had shared it before making it public.
Is it possible to see total put volume traded on the 22nd vs average, the day some people had the letter? That is, without individually adding up every strike?
Sheesh, nice investigative work John. This is really incredible. And to think that the government is impartial.
ReplyDeleteNow Scott Dinneen is gone, likely ran out after crafting a bad short thesis. There will be books written on the Herbalife matter.
indievestments.com
John,
ReplyDeleteif you are still under any illusion how the USA is run please read "The Rich & The Super Rich" by Ferdinand Lundberg. It was written in the late sixties but is still as relevant as ever.
Sometimes the government does act against bad guys. How's that AFSI "short squeeze" long going for you?
ReplyDeleteI think you owe some apologies John.
ReplyDeleteThe Google cached version of Markey's website shows the date on the letter as 1/22/2014.
I'll attach a link, I'm not sure how well it works since the formatting gets all effed up:
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:6oaUjLD2hxkJ:www.markey.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2014-1-22_Johnson_Herbalife.pdf+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
If that didn't work, just search for the file name in Google, "www.markey.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2014-1-22_Johnson_Herbalife.pdf" and then click on the little down arrow to the right of the title in the first result and select 'Cached'.
Here's a screenshot in case it changes:
http://i.imgur.com/lrG5lds.png?1
Additionally, the Google search result shows that the page was created on 1/22/2014:
ReplyDeletehttp://i.imgur.com/fKpArIx.png
Why isn't this front page news in the US?
ReplyDeleteI just don't get the media's lack of hunger when there clearly is a cracking story.
John,you are over your head here in the case of Herbalife.It's not about selling"securities,products,SEC reporting and friendly testimonials".It's about the illegal selling of "Business Opportunities".It's not a Direct sales model,it's a Pyramid powered model in the MLM space.Hughes started as 100% Pyramid and they made only some minor changes over the years. Not enough space here to explain but simply state "me and my wife look alike but I marry her for the difference".
ReplyDelete